Section topics: The paleo-climate baseline for understanding climate issues; A list of Alarmist claims versus facts; New research on the logarithmic decline in the warming influence of CO2 with increased atmospheric levels (overturns the alarm over rising CO2 levels); A brief education in theology/spirituality (the larger mythical background of contemporary alarmism movements like environmental alarmism).
Intro to the paleo-climate baseline (not the diet)
Greenpeace co-founder/scientist Patrick Moore did it first with his GWPF lecture “Celebrating CO2”. Now he offers more detail in his new book (pardon the horrendous title, sheesh Patrick) “Fake Invisible Catastrophes And Threats of Doom”. Moore does not just challenge the basic assumptions of the climate alarm narrative, that is based more on apocalyptic mythology than on any fact. More important, he overturns the alarmist narrative entirely with good paleo-climate evidence. He provides the big picture of the longer paleo-climate history that enables us to properly understand the climate issues of today. The big picture exposes the insanity of the endless alarmist mantra of “Hottest on record”.
Conclusions: We have nothing to fear from more CO2 in our atmosphere and, in fact, we should encourage rising levels of this basic food of all life. Also, we have nothing to fear from more warming of our currently abnormally cold planet.
Climate change means that we will have to adapt to an ever-changing future world, but the benefits of more CO2 and more warmth far outweigh any negatives. Climate cooling is a far bigger threat to life. 20 times more people die every year from cold than from warmth.
A critical fact for the climate debate: “CO2 today is at one of the lowest levels in Earth’s history”, Patrick Moore.
We are currently in a “CO2 starvation era”. For most of the past 600 million years when most plant and animal life emerged on Earth, CO2 levels have been in the multiple-thousands of ppm (parts per million in the atmosphere). Life has thrived during that time. But some 150 million years ago CO2 began to “steadily decline to the lowest level in the history of life on Earth. During the last glacial maximum, 20,000 years ago, CO2 fell to about 180 ppm, only 30 ppm above the level where plants begin to die from CO2 starvation… Even at today’s 415 ppm carbon dioxide is still much lower than it had been during the majority of the existence of modern life” (Patrick Moore, ‘Fake Invisible Catastrophes and Threats of Doom’, p.40, 37). Moore traces the history and causes of that paleo-climate decline.
The human discovery of fossil fuels has saved life from further decline in CO2. If the 150 million-year declining trend had continued, all life would have eventually died. Moore is correct that plants need to regain the healthier 1000-1500 ppm levels of the past. Plants thrive at 2-3 times the present levels of CO2 at 415 ppm.
Alarmist claim: “The last time CO2 was this, high humans didn’t exist”. Moore’s response, “True. But humans did not exist until about 2 million years ago. As carbon dioxide declined from 2500 ppm during the last 150 million years it was not until about 5 million years ago that it had declined to today’s level of 415 ppm. It is rather preposterous to suggest that 415 ppm is somehow dangerous when all animal life, including our mammalian ancestors, lived through millions of years where carbon dioxide levels were at 2,000 ppm and higher”.
A Paleo-climate baseline for understanding the present world
For most of history the planet was much hotter than today, by 5 degrees C. on average (19.5 C. versus today’s 14.5 C. average). And that past world did not fry because the heat was distributed mainly to colder areas such as the poles. We have evidence that during the earlier history of Earth the polar regions had tropical trees, and warm-habitat life forms such as camels. Animal and plant habitats were vastly more extensive as the polar regions over much of Earth’s past history were ice-free.
And CO2 levels were much higher, in the thousands of ppm (6,000 ppm during the Cambrian explosion when modern plants and early animal forms emerged). That meant much more of the basic food of life was available, and plant and animal life thrived and flourished.
That paleo-climate past must be the ‘big-picture’ baseline for understanding the present. Our current world is a sub-normally cold world that constricts most plant and animal life to mainly warmer regions. Note the fact that warmer regions today have far more animal and plant diversity which affirms the benefit of warmer climate on animals and plants. Colder weather causes more stress and extinctions of animal life (Ian Plimer in Heaven and Earth).
Rather than bemoan the loss of ice, and glaciers retreating, we should hope for more warming and melting. More climate warming is a return to a more optimal, more normal, and healthy planet. A planet without ice is a more normal and optimal world, which was the state of the planet for most of the past history of Earth. Our thinking on this has been completely upended with the endless unscientific alarmism over climate becoming warmer. That is insanity gone insane. A warmer world with more CO2 means a greener, healthier planet where all plant and animal life thrives. And where human civilization also flourishes.
If you care for plant, animal, and human life, then you will hope that it continues to warm and that CO2 continues to rise and supply plant life with more of its basic food.
Note: The interglacial before our current one, the Eemian (some 130,000-115,000 years ago), was 2-4 degrees C. warmer than today and sea levels were 5-8 meters higher. “The two interglacials that preceded the Eemian, the La Bouchet and the Purfleet, were also warmer and with higher sea levels.” (Moore, p.71). Our Holocene is much cooler than the previous three interglacials. Going further back in paleo-climate history, “The Eocene Thermal Maximum, which all the ancestors of every species on Earth today lived through, was a much as 10 degrees C warmer than today’s global average” (p.77).
A brief education on the basic issues of the climate debate (list of alarmist claims/facts just below)
Below is a brief list of some of the basic issues related to the climate change debate. These cover areas of disagreement between alarmists and skeptics.
Skeptics do not deny climate change but know that credible evidence challenges the extent of the ‘manmade’ element. Good evidence shows that we contribute very little to Earth’s Carbon cycles, that CO2 contributes very little to climate change in general, and that more warming and more CO2 will not be catastrophic to life but will be mostly beneficial, as it already has been with a 30% greening of the planet since 1900 (a 30% global increase in biomass) with a 15% increase over just the past 4 decades.
This climate issue concerns the future of our children and our civilization. Climate alarmism has become an apocalyptic movement that demonizes the basic food of all life- CO2- and wants to decrease that food supply with a destructive salvation plan- decarbonization. That will be “The suicide of industrial civilization”, according to Richard Lindzen, atmospheric physicist and former MIT professor.
Posts on climate- evidence versus alarm
The following is mainly from the “alarmist claim rebuttal update” posted at Wattsupwiththat.com Jan.14, 2021 https://thsresearch.files.wordpress.com/2018/02/ef-cpp-alarmist-claim-rebuttal-overview-021118.pdf as well as from ‘Everythingclimate.org’ and other sites.
1. Alarmist claim: We have just experienced the hottest years on record.
Fact: For 97% of the past 10,000 years it has been hotter than today. https://alarmistclaimresearch.files.wordpress.com/2019/05/ac-rebuttal-heat-waves-070920.pdf
2. Alarmist claim: The rate of warming is becoming catastrophic.
Fact: The recent (1970s to 1990s) warming was mild and natural.
3. Alarmist claim: Global warming is causing more severe storms.
Fact: The long-term trend in severe storms is declining.
4. Alarmist claim: Global warming is causing more and stronger tornadoes.
Fact: “Strong tornadoes have seen a drop in frequency since the 1950s.”
5. Alarmist claim: Global warming is increasing the magnitude and frequency of droughts and floods.
Fact: “Our use of fossil fuels to power our civilization is not causing droughts or floods. NOAA found there is no evidence that floods and droughts are increasing because of climate change.”
6. Alarmist claim: Droughts are getting worse.
Fact: Droughts are not getting worse.
7. Alarmist claim: Global Warming has increased U.S. wildfires.
Fact: “These data show that the trend in the number of fires is actually down while the trend in the acreage burned has increased.” Globally wildfires have declined.
8. Alarmist claim: Global warming is causing snow to disappear.
Fact: The opposite is occurring with unprecedented snowfalls.
9. Alarmist claim: There is a 97% consensus that carbon dioxide from human activity is driving runaway climate changes.
Fact: “The 97% consensus claim is shown here to be simply a convenient fiction to bypass the scientific method and any inconvenient facts that arise to drive policies.”
10. Alarmist claim: Carbon pollution is a health hazard.
Fact: “The term “carbon pollution” is a deliberate, ambiguous, disingenuous term, designed to mislead people into thinking carbon dioxide is pollution.”
11. Alarmist claim: Global warming is resulting in rising sea levels.
Fact: “All data from tide gauges in areas where land is not rising or sinking show instead a steady linear and unchanging sea level rate of rise near 4 inches/century, with variations due to gravitational factors.”
12. Alarmist claim: Arctic, Antarctic and Greenland ice loss is accelerating due to global warming.
Fact: “Satellite and surface temperature records and sea surface temperatures show that both the East Antarctic Ice Sheet and the West Antarctic Ice Sheet are cooling, not warming and glacial ice is increasing, not melting.” Arctic ice extent has been measured from the end of the 1940-79 cold period which gave a misleadingly large baseline from which to evaluate Arctic sea ice extent. The extent of Arctic ice was previously smaller during earlier warm periods.
13. Alarmist claim: Rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations are causing ocean acidification, which is catastrophically harming marine life.
Fact: The ocean acidification alarm is false.
14. Alarmist claim: Coral reefs are dying.
Fact: Coral reefs are thriving.
15. Alarmist claim: CO2-induced climate change is threatening global food production and harming natural ecosystems.
Fact: “Far from being in danger, the vitality of global vegetation in both managed and unmanaged ecosystems is better off now than it was a hundred years ago, 50 years ago, or even a mere two-to-three decades ago.” Earth is greener today (a worldwide 15% increase in green vegetation since 1980) because of more basic plant food- i.e. CO2- in the atmosphere.
16. Alarmist claim: Humanity faces increasing threat from extreme weather.
Fact: Long-term data indicate that global death rates from all extreme weather events have declined by 99% since the 1920s.
17. Alarmist claim: The warming influence of CO2 on climate increases exponentially with rising levels of CO2.
Fact: The warming influence of CO2 decreases dramatically- i.e. logarithmically- with rising levels of CO2. Conclusion? There is no “climate crisis”- no reason to fear or to halt rising CO2 in the atmosphere.
This summary of new research…
“STUDY SUGGESTS NO MORE CO2 WARMING, OCTOBER 26, 2020, By David Wojick posted on Wattsupwiththat.com
“This astounding finding resolves a huge uncertainty that has plagued climate science for over a century.
“Precision research by physicists William Happer and William van Wijngaarden has determined that the present levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide and water vapor are almost completely saturated. In radiation physics the technical term “saturated” implies that adding more molecules will not cause more warming.
“In plain language this means that from now on our emissions from burning fossil fuels could have little or no further impact on global warming. There would be no climate emergency. No threat at all. We could emit as much CO2 as we like; with no effect.
“This astounding finding resolves a huge uncertainty that has plagued climate science for over a century. How should saturation be measured and what is its extent with regard to the primary greenhouse gases?
“In radiation physics the term “saturation” is nothing like the simple thing we call saturation in ordinary language, just as the greenhouse effect is nothing like how greenhouses work. Your paper towel is saturated when it won’t pick up any more spilled milk. In contrast greenhouse gases are saturated when there is no more milk left to pick up, as it were, but it is far more complex than this simple analogy suggests. See full report at- https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/11/02/weekly-climate-and-energy-news-roundup-428/
Insert note: The steep decline in the warming influence of CO2 on climate. This quote from the October 31st, 2020 ‘Weekly Roundup’ report on Wattsupwiththat.com
“In the current atmosphere, with CO2 at about 400 parts per million (400 ppm), the influence of adding a molecule of CO2 is “suppressed by four orders of magnitude”, or about one-ten thousands that of the first molecules. Using the language common to those who study this field, both CO2 and water vapor are saturated; increasing these gases will not have a significant impact on the climate of the earth. Such an effect can be described by a logarithmic function, not its inverse, an exponential function which has been used in IPCC reports. Humanity’s addition of CO2 to the atmosphere is not causing a “climate crisis.”
“As stated by Richard Lindzen previously, doubling of CO2 will have little effect on the earth’s climate, a few percent (perhaps “a 2% perturbation”) of the total energy flowing onto the earth and out to space. Again, the exponential functions used by the IPCC are pure fantasy. Further, as will be discussed next week, cutting existing CO2 in half will have little effect and the residence time of CO2 in the atmosphere is not particularly meaningful. Carbon dioxide capture is of little or no value.”
MIT climate physicist Richard Lindzen’s summary presentations on climate and the minor role of CO2:
Quotes from “Climate Advice: Don’t worry, be Happer”.
“Contrary to the predictions of most climate models there has been very little warming of the Earth’s surface over the last two decades… the discrepancy between models and observations is most likely due to (the exaggerated climate sensitivity to CO2 in the models)”.
“More CO2 in the atmosphere will be good for life on planet earth. Few realize that the world has been in a CO2 famine for millions of years… Over the past 550 million years… CO2 levels have averaged many thousands of parts per million (ppm), not today’s few hundred ppm, which is not that far above the minimum level, around 150 ppm, when many plants die of CO2 starvation”.
“All green plants grow faster with more atmospheric CO2… Of equal or greater importance, more CO2 in the atmosphere makes plants more drought-resistant…. More greening and greater agricultural yields can be expected as CO2 concentrations increase further.
“Summary: The Earth is in no danger from increasing levels of CO2. More CO2 will be a major benefit to the biosphere and to humanity… more atmospheric CO2 will substantially increase plant growth rates and drought resistance.
“Historians in the future will write learned papers on how it was possible for a seemingly enlightened civilization of the early 21st century to demonize CO2”.
A brief education in theology/spirituality
A “short version” list of “Old Story Themes, New Story Alternatives (More detailed versions, with sources, are posted in sections below- see “The Four Main Essays”)
1 Old story theme (the core theme): The myth of God as an ultimate judging, punishing, and destroying reality.
New story alternative: The stunning new theology of deity (Ultimate Reality/Mystery, Consciousness, Mind, Self) as an inexpressibly wondrous “no conditions” Love (i.e. no judgment, no punishment, no destruction in apocalypse or hell).
2 Old story theme: The myth of a perfect beginning (Eden) and a God obsessed with perfection and punishing imperfection (i.e. God angry at the loss of perfection).
New story alternative: The world began in imperfection (was purposely created imperfect as a learning arena for human struggle and development) but has gradually improved with emerging complexity, organization, and creative human input.
3 Old story theme: The myth that humanity began as a more perfect species but has “fallen” or degraded into something worse over history.
New story alternative: We have emerged from the brutality of an animal past to gradually become something better across history- more human/humane.
4 Old story theme: The myth that the trajectory of life declines toward something worse (i.e. toward some great collapse and ending).
New story alternative: Life has improved across history, notably with creative human input and guidance.
5 Old story theme: The myth that natural disasters, disease, human cruelty, and death are expressions of divine punishment.
New story alternative: While there are natural and social consequences all through life, there is no punitive, destroying deity behind the imperfections of life.
6 Old story theme: Humanity has been rejected by the Creator and has become separated from the Source, and now must be reconciled to God.
New story alternative: No one has ever been separated from the unconditional Love at the core of reality.
7 Old story theme: The myth of dualism in Ultimate Reality (i.e. a Good God versus an evil Force/Satan). This myth has validated the division of humanity into opposing groups of “true believers/unbelievers”, “saved” and “lost”, good guys versus bad guys/enemies, and other tribal divisions based on race/ethnicity, religion, ideology, nationality, gender, and so on.
New story alternative: We all come from the same originating Oneness and we are all equals in the one human family. The apparent dualisms of this material world do not represent any ultimate dualism.
8 Old story theme: The myth of looming apocalypse and the final destruction of all (i.e. God as ultimate Destroyer).
New story alternative: There are problems all through the world but no looming threat of final destruction and ending of life.
9 Old story theme: The threat of an imminent end to the world incites the panic-driven demand for “instantaneous transformation” of life (versus “gradualism” in the development of life). Threat of imminent collapse and ending incites the demand for urgent action to save the world, for “coercive purging” of some imagined threat.
New story alternative: There is no end of days on the horizon and consequently no need for coercive instantaneous transformation. We improve life gradually as we solve problems democratically.
10 Old story theme: The demand for a salvation scheme, for some sacrifice or payment.
New story alternative: Unconditional means absolutely no divine demand for debt payment, no conditions. None. No demanded sacrifice or punishment.
11 Old story theme: Retribution or payback/punishment is true justice.
New story alternative: Unconditional affirms restorative/rehabilitative justice that is victim-centered and holds offenders responsible, but forgives and treats all humanely.
12 Old story theme: The myth of future or after-life judgment, exclusion, and punishment/destruction.
New story alternative: Unconditional includes all in the end (sun and rain given to all, to both good and bad people). There is no ultimate judgment, exclusion, punishment or destruction (no such thing as Hell).
13 Old story theme: The myth of a hero messiah that uses superior force to overthrow enemies and purge the world so that he can coercively install a paradise for his “true believer” followers.
New story alternative: Authentic love does not intervene or overwhelm with force that violates the freedom of others. Further, the only savior/salvation that we can expect will come from ourselves. The only salvation that we need to be concerned about is to get busy solving problems in our world and improving life in some way. That will “save” life and the world.
14 Old story theme: The myth of Biblicism- i.e. the belief that religious holy books are more special and authoritative than ordinary human insight and writing.
New story alternative: There is no special religious authority above common human insights, such as in human rights codes or constitutions, or as found throughout ordinary human discussion and writing.
15 Old story theme: The myth of God as ruler, judge, Lord, or King (a lordship mediated via priesthoods and religious authorities).
New story alternative: There is no domination/subservience in God relating to humanity, or human relating to deity. God relates horizontally to humanity.
16 Old story theme: The myth that humanity is obligated to know, serve, or have a relationship with invisible reality (related myth- “humanity created to serve the gods”).
New story alternative: Our primary loyalty is to serve real people and their needs, in here and now reality.
17 Old story theme: The absence or silence of God in the midst of natural disaster or human cruelty. The Holocaust is the iconic example of such silence.
New story alternative: There is no Sky God somewhere up above the world. God has never been absent or silent but has always incarnated in all humanity (the human or humane spirit) and is seen in all human raging against evil and suffering, and all human effort to make life better.
18 Old Story Theme: The myth of the moral and spiritual superiority of the simple, low-consumption lifestyle (self-produced, using only local resources).
New Story Alternative: The search for a better life is the fundamental urge of love- to responsibly improve one’s life and the condition of one’s family. Enjoyment of life (i.e. free choice in consumption), along with the benefits of free commerce (self-determination), has been a huge boon to all humanity.
Added qualifier: Holding the belief that God is a no conditions reality (i.e. all are forgiven and included in the end) does not nullify the common-sense need for us to restrain violent people and prevent wrongdoing in this world. And likewise, our responsibility to restrain bad behavior in this life does not nullify the ultimate reality of God as unconditional love (all forgiven, included, and loved in the end).
Joseph Campbell: “There is a deep and terrible mystery here, which we perhaps cannot, or possibly simply will not, comprehend; yet which will have to be assimilate if we are to meet such a test. For love is exactly as strong as life. And when life produces what the intellect names evil, we may enter into righteous battle, contending ‘from loyalty of heart’: however, if the principle of love (Christ’s “love your enemies”) is lost thereby, our humanity too will be lost.
“’Man’ in the words of the American novelist Hawthorne, ‘must not disclaim his brotherhood even with the guiltiest’”. (p. 168, Myths to live by)